Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 4.131773 4.432725 4.755455 5.129124 5.552211 6.019212 6.577620
2025-08-17 3.568918 3.968604 4.423443 4.986021 5.672817 6.497335 7.583644
2025-08-24 3.252514 3.698846 4.226394 4.908169 5.785188 6.904803 8.495543
2025-08-31 3.082326 3.571116 4.167558 4.968214 6.047598 7.506945 9.740306
2025-09-07 2.922820 3.436034 4.078307 4.967514 6.214256 7.986001 10.887672
2025-09-14 2.724922 3.234863 3.884049 4.802160 6.125557 8.075558 11.437344
2025-09-21 2.577300 3.087209 3.746702 4.698200 6.106481 8.256419 12.160961
2025-09-28 2.464243 2.976841 3.649820 4.639579 6.142876 8.520791 13.079272
2025-10-05 2.392180 2.915835 3.614426 4.663433 6.302857 9.002427 14.517922
2025-10-12 2.344059 2.883522 3.615172 4.737951 6.546905 9.659854 16.502817
2025-10-19 2.298701 2.851826 3.613611 4.806885 6.786666 10.345941 18.791234
2025-10-26 2.240197 2.798466 3.577041 4.817520 6.927157 10.866355 20.885822
2025-11-02 2.163187 2.719210 3.503572 4.773011 6.982512 11.261066 22.932118
2025-11-09 2.068128 2.610939 3.382750 4.645620 6.880035 11.322097 24.094378
2025-11-16 1.995792 2.531990 3.301315 4.576073 6.875000 11.590147 26.058225
2025-11-23 1.960228 2.504322 3.295162 4.629716 7.105129 12.427400 30.547728
2025-11-30 1.914001 2.458826 3.258931 4.629091 7.229683 13.047464 34.796181
2025-12-07 1.836126 2.363745 3.141628 4.481260 7.046688 12.876454 35.527717
2025-12-14 1.775552 2.292376 3.058477 4.388146 6.966349 12.956193 37.576011
2025-12-21 1.727854 2.238552 3.000523 4.335583 6.963914 13.240522 40.994123
2025-12-28 1.699316 2.212376 2.984960 4.356977 7.118001 13.984645 48.041103
2026-01-04 1.681997 2.202365 2.994467 4.423766 7.377024 15.100811 59.869878
2026-01-11 1.664363 2.191090 3.001161 4.485489 7.632736 16.293835 76.178900